The Oil Bubble Has Burst. What Now?

Those analysts who warned that oil prices can’t go on rising forever now have the chance to tell everyone else “I told you so.” Brent and WTI have fallen by 9 percent since the highs they hit in late January, with the international benchmark slumping to US$64.42 today in midday Asian trade, and West Texas Intermediate falling to US$60.61 a barrel.

The problem with bubbles is that they are so irresistibly shiny while they expand, but sooner or later every bubble pops. Sometimes the bang can be deafening, which is what happened four years ago. This time it was quite loud, too.

Energy analyst Tom Kloza from the Oil Price Information Service warned at the end of January that there is a “tremendous speculative bubble.” He warned that the price is due for a serious correction. Reuters’ John Kemp noted that bullish bets on Brent, WTI, and the four most popular oil product futures are at all-time highs, which also suggests a correction is pending.

Now, the correction is taking place. It may have started with the stock market slip on Monday, prompted by higher bond yields, but it continued with the Energy Information Administration reporting that the United States have breached the 10-million-bpd oil production threshold for the second time since last November—and apparently much earlier than most observers expected.

U.S. drillers produced 10.25 million barrels of oil daily last week, the EIA said in its weekly petroleum report, and prices slumped further as doubts about the global oversupply—which is still lingering—were reignited. But the weekly report was just additional kindling to EIA’s latest Short-Term Energy Outlook, which forecast that U.S. oil production will top 11 million bpd in 2019.

Source:https://oilprice.com/Energy/Oil-Prices/The-Oil-Bubble-Has-Burst-What-Now.html

Saudi Arabia’s private sector ends 2017 with strong growth

Saudi Arabia's private sector ends

Increases in both output and new orders contributed to the growth

Saudi Arabia’s non-oil private sector ended 2017 with a sharp improvement in business conditions, according to the adjusted Emirates NBD Saudi Arabia Purchasing Manager’s Index.

The index – a composite gauge designed to give a single-figure snapshot of operating conditions in the non-oil private sector economy – fell fractionally to 57.3 during December, from 57.5. Overall, however, the latest figure showed that expansion remained steep and above 2017’s average.

Additionally, non-oil private sector companies in Saudi Arabia continued to report steep rates of expansion in output, with anecdotal evidence suggesting that domestic demands and an increase in orders from neighbouring countries has contributed to higher output requirements.

Inflows of new business to Saudi non-oil private sector firms were also found to have increased over the course of December. While the expansion was sharp, it remained below the historical average, according to Emirates NBD.

New export orders also expanded at the fastest rate since August, which extended the current sequence of growth to five months. Additionally, non-oil private sector companies continued to hire more staff in December, although at a slower rate than the series’ long-run average.

Average cost burdens in Saudi Arabia were found to have risen significantly during August, and increased demand for raw materials led to higher prices. Despite rising input costs, selling prices only rose at a fractional pace overall amid competitive pressures in the non-oil private sector.

Saudi Arabia’s private sector ends 2017 with strong growth
Increases in both output and new orders contributed to the growth

Inflows of new business to Saudi non-oil private sector firms were also found to have increased over the course of December.
Saudi Arabia’s non-oil private sector ended 2017 with a sharp improvement in business conditions, according to the adjusted Emirates NBD Saudi Arabia Purchasing Manager’s Index.

The index – a composite gauge designed to give a single-figure snapshot of operating conditions in the non-oil private sector economy – fell fractionally to 57.3 during December, from 57.5. Overall, however, the latest figure showed that expansion remained steep and above 2017’s average.

Additionally, non-oil private sector companies in Saudi Arabia continued to report steep rates of expansion in output, with anecdotal evidence suggesting that domestic demands and an increase in orders from neighbouring countries has contributed to higher output requirements.

Inflows of new business to Saudi non-oil private sector firms were also found to have increased over the course of December. While the expansion was sharp, it remained below the historical average, according to Emirates NBD.

New export orders also expanded at the fastest rate since August, which extended the current sequence of growth to five months. Additionally, non-oil private sector companies continued to hire more staff in December, although at a slower rate than the series’ long-run average.

Average cost burdens in Saudi Arabia were found to have risen significantly during August, and increased demand for raw materials led to higher prices. Despite rising input costs, selling prices only rose at a fractional pace overall amid competitive pressures in the non-oil private sector.

On a negative note, business confidence towards future growth prospects was found to have declined slight, even while remaining generally optimistic. An upturn in business conditions and increased marketing activity were expected to underpin output growth in the next year.

“The December PMI survey continued to show a strong rate of expansion in December, and the data suggests that non-oil growth accelerated in the final quarter of 2017, as well as for the year as a whole compared to 2016,” said Khatija Haque, head of MENA research at Emirates NBD.

“Nevertheless, we expect headline GDP growth to be close to zero in 2017 as substantial oil production cuts will offset the expansion in the non-oil sectors of the economy.

“We are more optimistic about growth prospects in 2018 however,” he added.

Source:http://www.arabianbusiness.com/politics-economics/386903-saudi-arabias-private-sector-ends-2017-with-strong-growth

Made in Jordan: Inside the Unexpected Powerhouse of Garment Manufacturing

AMMAN, Jordan — The ancient city of Petra, 70 years of regional turmoil and the spiralling Syrian refugee crisis. All spring to mind at the mere mention of Jordan, the Middle Eastern nation that shares a border with Iraq and Syria. Few of us, however, would think of its vibrant garment manufacturing industry.

But look at the labels stitched into clothing made by Gap, Victoria’s Secret, Hanes, Eddie Bauer, Lands’ End or Macy’s and there it is: “Made in Jordan.” Garment exports make up roughly 20 percent of the country’s gross domestic product.

In the arid outskirts of Jordan’s cities sit a growing number of industrial parks that house garment factories quietly churning out clothing for some of the world’s most recognisable brands.

There are currently 75 factories producing everything from towels to t-shirts, fleeces to frilly knickers. They account for 95 percent of the industrial workforce, and 95 percent of apparel exports.

Despite its reputation as the safest place in the Middle East, instability in Jordan is at an all-time high. More than one million Syrian refugees are jostling for shelter and a few Jordanian dinars a day (one dinar is equivalent to $1.41). Jordan is the only Arab country still active in the coalition against Isis, and the threat of destabilisation from Syria and Iraq have authorities working all-out to protect the country’s northern and eastern borders.

Jordan’s political opposition, the Muslim Brotherhood, is breaking apart, allowing the dissenters to slip under the radar. The country’s ruler, King Abdullah, has increasingly relied on financial and practical support from his allies, such as the United States, to support not only his people, but also asylum seekers from Syria, Iraq, Sudan and Yemen. Many diplomats in Amman privately admit they think of a terrorist attack in terms of ‘when,’ not ‘if.’

Yet, somehow, the industry is growing at a time when all common-sense indicators suggest it shouldn’t be.

“When you step into Jordan, you never feel the regional tumult,” says Radhakrishnan Putharikkal, president of the Classic Fashion factory on the sprawling, 118 hectare Al-Hassan Industrial Estate just outside the northern city of Irbid.

Classic is now the leading garment manufacturer in the Kingdom. Its exports accounted for nearly 13 percent of Jordan’s $1 billion garment exports to the United States last year, according to Jordan’s Trade Ministry. Established in 2003, it has grown from a small-scale operation (300 people, 130 machines and $2 million turnover per year) to 15,000 employees, 7,500 machines spinning out close to 200,000 garments each day, and an annual turnover of more than $250 million.

“Jordan’s stability and location made us choose it over Morocco or Tunisia, and our calculations were 100 percent right,” says Putharikkal.

Industry origins

In contrast to its neighbours Israel and Saudi Arabia, Jordan is a poor country, devastatingly dry with few resources: potash, phosphates, concrete and tourism top the list. Oil is imported, along with nearly half the country’s food and the bulk of manufactured goods. Despite the economics, how Jordan became a manufacturing powerhouse is more about politics than purchasing power.

When the 1994 peace accord was hammered out between Jordan and Israel, a key economic element was introduced: the Qualifying Industrial Zone (QIZ). Under this legislation, goods produced in collaboration with Israel could enjoy freer access to the US market. The QIZs were packaged as a “peace dividend,” says Jordan scholar Sean Yom, a political science professor at Temple University in Philadelphia.

“They were presented this way to convince many Jordanians that the 1994 peace accord with Israel would benefit them. It was supposed to catalyse the export sector, spread more jobs and attract foreign investment.”
This happened, but only up to a point: the group that benefited most from foreign investment was merchants and businessmen, people who already had financial capital and could leverage their connections to secure new contracts, and as Yom puts it, “rake in more profit.”

“Most of the jobs initially went to foreign labour anyway, before a backlash forced managers to hire locally,” says Yom.

Some experts say the export potential of the QIZ project became moot in 2000, when the US inked its free trade agreement with Jordan, cutting out the need for an Israel connection. But others say the QIZs served another purpose: fast-tracking the free trade deal with the US.

“Without these factories in the QIZ zones we could never have started the process to attract these Hong Kong and China manufacturers and the US trade,” says Halim Salfiti, the former chief executive of Al Tajamouat Industrial City.

“There was a process of the foreign manufacturers educating the locals by showing them how to do this. The foreign manufacturers started working here, then they started trading. And they had relationships with buyers, so for Jordanian manufacturers starting up, that was a door-opener. It was easy to market,” says Salfiti.

With most of the old QIZ factories growing and new industrial areas springing up under the US-Jordan free trade agreement, business boomed. In 2006 and 2007, the multi-billion dollar business of exporting manufactured goods (mainly clothing) was Jordan’s largest export.

Workforce challenges

One area where the QIZ project failed, and where the garment manufacturing industry under the US free trade agreement is still floundering, is around employing locals, particularly women. Official statistics show that for years, the labour market participation of girls and women aged 15 and above has stagnated at around 12.6 percent, compared to 60.3 percent of men in the same age bracket.

Classic has struggled with this in its urban factories, which employ around 2,000 Jordanian workers. Cultural factors are significant: Jordan is a socially conservative country and in rural areas and smaller cities, like Ajloun, where Classic has a satellite factory mainly employing Jordanians, women tend to withdraw from work upon marrying.

Anecdotally, among Jordanians, factory work tends to be seen as shameful, and even in areas with high levels of unemployment, meeting labour demands with skilled or trainable local staff is challenging.

Classic has set up a crèche as a way of retaining its 90 percent female workforce at its Ajloun factory. But employee turnover is between 15 percent and 20 percent, mainly due to marriages.

Local employees are also more expensive: Jordanian workers receive an additional 80 dinar per month for their living expenses, whereas international workers receive in-kind payment in the form of housing, food and living costs.

Foreign workers typically come to Jordan on three-year contracts and work six eight-hour days, with 125 percent minimum wage pay for overtime and 150 percent for holidays. Many are members of Jordan’s General Trade Union of Workers in Textile Garment and Clothing Industries, which in 2013 saw a landmark collective bargaining agreement on wages, employment conditions and seniority issues take effect.

All of this is a marked improvement over conditions during the sector’s most prolific stretch, around 2006 to 2007. Factory owners and subcontractors were accused of a range of workers’ rights abuses at the factories making clothing for Victoria’s Secret, as well as Levi’s, Gap and Calvin Klein. A New York Times investigation accused Jordan of running sweatshops where workers were abused and even imprisoned.

Imported labour

Better Work Jordan runs a workers’ centre at Al Hassan where foreign workers can access social support, prayer rooms, information on human rights and labour rights, and take part in social activities from holiday celebrations to games. The organisation also offers employers training in labour law and human rights.

Linda Kalash, executive director of Tamkeen Fields for Aid, a Jordanian non-governmental organisation that works to protect migrant workers’ rights, says the situation still isn’t good enough.

“The violations continue,” she told BoF at a meeting in her Amman office. She faces a steady stream of migrant workers in need of help, from making complaints about treatment on the factory floor to requests for legal help with hefty fees incurred for breaking contracts early. Kalash says grievances are fewer and less egregious than in past years, but she and her team are still run off their feet.

What next?

As Jordan’s tourism industry collapses in the face of regional chaos, revenue from garment manufacturing is becoming more valuable. Growing the sector and employing more locals and more women is the next challenge. And here, progress begets progress: nine months ago Jordan’s Ministry of Labour inked a deal to establish a new, partly-subsidised factory in the country’s deprived Husseiniya district. The project guarantees 500 jobs for local women.

With a busy, high-functioning port in Aqaba on the Red Sea and access to Israel’s Haifa port through the Allenby Bridge crossing, Jordan is well placed to be a global manufacturing hub. Shipping from Jordan to the US is quicker and cheaper than shipping from Southeast Asia, and as Classic’s Putharikkal points out, Jordanian factories are developing a reputation for good work delivered on time.

As regional tensions ratchet up, it’s undeniable that some sort of change is coming. But in Jordan’s factories, for now, at least, it’s business as usual.

Source:https://www.businessoffashion.com/articles/global-currents/made-in-jordan-garment-manufacturing-industry

Oman’s new mining legislation set to address stakeholder demands

As part of PAM’s responsibilities in sector governance and organisational structure, the primary objective of the law is to address the factors that have historically hindered foreign investment in Omani mining. Drafting was reportedly completed in 2015, with the legislation submitted to government ministries for review.

Priority Issues
Subject to final approval, the new mining law is expected to decrease complexity in the sector and make operating in Oman easier and more transparent for potential investors. The draft law envisages, for example, longer mining leases, making it attractive for investors to enter the sector. It is also expected to centralise a process of licensing applications that currently involves multiple agencies.

Stakeholders are hoping that the regulatory revamp will lead to increased legal clarity. “Mining has huge potential in Oman, but we have yet to see a large-scale project be undertaken in the country, and thus regulating the industry is still a work in progress,” Ernst Grissemann, managing director for Bauer Nimr, a German construction firm, told OBG.

To create the draft legislation, PAM reviewed mining sector regulatory frameworks from around the world, reportedly focusing on provisions including local content, investment incentives, investor clarity, extending the duration of licences, penalties for lack of investment and benefits for local communities. Fixed royalties and tax rates are expected to be purposefully left out of the new law in favour of adjustable royalties that can incentivise investment by triggering lower rates during periods of very low commodity prices. Hilal bin Mohammed Al Busaidy, PAM’s CEO, has suggested that local content development will be a priority objective once the new law comes into force.

The new law is also intended to implement more regulations to protect the mining sector and prescribe heftier fines and jail terms for violations, a concern regularly raised by members of the Majlis Al Shura, the lower chamber of the Council of Oman.

“Oman’s mining law needs more teeth to combat evaders of royalty. The government is losing tens of millions of rials in revenue from this sector,” said Tawfeeq Al Lawati, a member of the Majlis Al Shura, speaking to local press in 2015. “Although the government has put in place a ban on exports of mining products in the form of raw materials, there are several companies and individuals that do the opposite,” he said. Al Lawati attributes a sharp rise in construction material prices on the local market to poor regulation, which enables exploitation by companies.

Sector Impact
Despite the anticipated positive effects of the new law on the sector, the immediate impact of PAM’s draft legislation has been to slow down the licensing process. Even well-capitalised companies report having difficulties obtaining licences for new projects, with the authority seemingly holding off on many applications until the new law is ratified.

However, the longer-term implications of the law are expected to be more positive. By rationalising the mining sector and streamlining unnecessarily bureaucratic licensing processes, PAM is providing real incentives for investors looking to enter the mining sector in Oman.

“What sector players want more than anything from the anticipated mining law is a clear and concise framework under which we can operate,” Dean Cunningham, CEO of Kunooz Oman Holding, told OBG. “This should be established based on international benchmarks and best practices in order to ensure the attractiveness of the sector to global capital,” Cunningham added.

Source:https://oxfordbusinessgroup.com/analysis/improved-regulation-sight-new-legislation-expected-address-stakeholder-demands

Industry at the forefront of economy, say experts

sohar

Muscat: Experts discussed the importance of the industrial sector to the Sultanate’s future, ahead of Oman’s Day of Industry, tomorrow.

“The industrial sector is a pillar of the national economy and contributes to the creation of employment opportunities for Omani youth,” Managing Director of Sohar Steel Group Khalid Tawfiq Abdul Rasoul said.

The industrial sector has become the backbone of Oman’s drive to become a manufacturing-based economy because of the government’s prioritisation of localising industries and diversifying away from oil.

Numerous initiatives were launched to achieve this objective, including the establishment of a bus factory and other projects designed to build local capacities in multiple areas.
“Industry remains at the forefront of the world’s economic sectors and plays an important role in increasing the income levels of countries and establishing sustainable job opportunities for its youth,” Dr. Said Al Mahrami, a member of the State Council, said.

Economic and industrial experts stressed that Oman was steadily moving towards achieving sector-wide development, leading to the construction of specialised industrial zones, new roads, and ancillary services. “Industry has the benefit of three revenue streams, which are difficult to sustain in other sectors, due to its ability to add value to oil, mining, farm and other sectors.

“In addition to achieving financial returns through export or supplying the local market with commodities and keeping the largest amount of money inside the country, which in turn contributes to the expansion of the economic cycle and doubling of trading,” Al Mahrami added.

The use of technology in national industries has become necessary to reduce costs and compete globally. Oman’s successful push on both fronts drew praise for industrialists.

Industry Day

“Since the founding of Omani Industry Day, we have witnessed an increase in the number of factories, a growth in the finance of industrial projects, as well as funds for SMEs,” Kamla Al Awfi, CEO of World Natural Stones, said.

Sulaiman Al Rashedi, Chief Executive Officer of Raki, said: “The industrial sector has contributed to the progress of many countries, such as Singapore and Japan, which despite having few natural resources are among the strongest economies in the world, thanks to their industrial prowess.”

“We look forward to seeing large industrial cities in the time to come,” he added.

Booming Spare Parts Business in Global Market

Spare parts services are flourishing day by day ,as demand for heavy machinery spare parts like marine equipment, ship equipment, engine parts, bearing parts, electrical & electronics parts, hardware & software parts, fuel system parts, pump parts, transmission parts, filters, seals & gaskets parts getting higher these days.

World is becoming concrete forest now constructing industries are expanding to a large extend from the micro level to macro. Spare parts are basically manufactured for the purpose of replacement or interchange. Spare parts are the life saver for any failed or detained part. Well there is one more term called capital spare that help failed machinery to get alive for more longer time as it take time for the replacement process that help for mass production. Spare parts expanding world wide as per their demand in international market.

Spare part market in Europe –

In this intensified competition globally, the European industry continues shaping itself. The field of innovation filled with highly efficient engines. European spare parts sector leading towards creating new opportunity that help exploring market. Spare parts which are manufactured are Eco friendly manufacturing parts.

There is a company named ‘Kogel’ a new logistic center which has acknowledged for continuous growth and increasing sale of spare parts market since two years. From Neu Ulm, Bravia to Ulm in Baden, Wurttemberg more specifically to Boschstrasse 25. In south germany C.E Neorpal GmbH is one of the fastest growing service provider gives Kogel more professional warehouse logistic services.

In recent time Europe enduring several dynamic changes on social front in making of car designs, manufacturing and deciding the how to implement new design and how to lure buyers and sellers. As Europe is the world’s largest market in spare parts affairs this promotes lot of business opportunities with cut throat competition.

Here O-jay spare Parts is a top leading spare part company in netherlands their professional team has highlighted some top tips to improve spare parts business in Europe.

Tips to improve spare parts business –

1. Promotion is the first step to start or run any business, same goes with the spare part business, strong marketing helps in expanding it. You need to boost your investment for selling and buying purposes.

2. For faster growth you need to serve your customers in the best possible way, provide them fast feedback, fast delivery. Customer satisfaction should be the main target. This will help you in build strong relation.

3. Always provide your customer quality spare parts that will help building goodwill of your company. Go for the last long guaranteed product also promote quality spare parts as compared to cheap rate products that fails too soon. Maintain your brand name reputation for the fully establishment of business.

4. Your target should be very clear about providing the best quality spare parts whether it be service and repair companies, self service technicians and fleet operators you need to work on wholesale market to supply spare parts.

5. Try to make customers comfortable by providing them frequent feedback and easy access to the company. For that you can make your companies website with full fledged information about almost every unit of the company, always respond them quick and provide better service.

As an example in Dubai spare parts exhibition happened in 2016 organized by Mattar AI Tayer, director general and chairman of board of executive directors at RTA. In that exhibition they displayed a healthy ex poser for the middle east auto spare parts and service industry. It was focused on higher rate of selling from 2.3 million in 2015 to 4.4 million in 2020 also there was a positive growth of exhibitor being shown. According to analyst in 2015 it was valued $ 12.98 billion and by 2020 $ 17.27 billion growth expected.

Conclusively you must need to know that in world market execution of electronic components in vehicles is leading now-a-days. Like today vehicles for example car contains more than 1000 electronic components and that is why these spare parts are more in demands now. This is how today’s global market comprises spare parts vendors.If you want to buy equipment parts online or to know more information about their spare part products you can hire O- Jay experts in Netherlands.

Source:https://yourstory.com/read/30cbd2e616-booming-spare-parts-business-in-global-market